Chapter 13

Simple Probability

Working out the probability of simple events as a fraction or decimal — with an interactive exercise.

Probability measures how likely an event is, from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain).

Formula

$P(\text{event}) = \frac{\text{number of favourable outcomes}}{\text{total number of outcomes}}$

Example: a bag has 2 red and 3 blue balls (5 in total), so $P(\text{red}) = \tfrac{2}{5} = 0.4$.

Remember

  • Probability is between 0 and 1.
  • $P = \dfrac{\text{favourable}}{\text{total}}$.

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