Chapter 8

Probability

Probability of single and combined events, from 0 to 1 — with an interactive exercise.

Probability measures how likely events are, from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain).

Formula

$P(\text{event}) = \frac{\text{favourable outcomes}}{\text{total outcomes}}$

Example: a bag of 2 red and 3 blue balls gives $P(\text{red}) = \tfrac{2}{5} = 0.4$. For combined events, multiply probabilities along a tree diagram.

Remember

  • Probability is between 0 and 1.
  • All outcomes' probabilities add up to 1.

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